November 2, 2012 9:00pm
Washington Huskies @ California Golden Bears
Current line: Cal -4
Total: 51
(The "Quick Look" segment will only summarize thoughts on the matchup with little information to conclude a theory of which team may cover the spread).
Let's get started...
Here we have a conference matchup between California and Washington with the Bears as the host. This game will be considered of importance since both teams will be fighting for bowl eligibility.
Cal has a record of 3-6.
Wash has a record of 4-4.
Cal has a record of 1-4 ATS at home.
Wash has a record of 0-3 ATS away.
As stated above, both team will be fighting for a bowl spot. However, Cal is in dire need to win their next three games in order for that to happen. They have Oregon and Oregon State following tonight's schedule So will Cal treat this game far more important than its opponent? Of course. They have a tough schedule ahead so to seal this win is "a must."
Cal has a series of weapons but some are in questions for tonight's game such as leading receiver Keenan Allen. They are also quiet thin at the linebacker position.
Cal has been outgained by opponents in yards but put up greater numbers on the run against opponents.
Wash, on the other hand, have been outgained in both statistics.
Overall, Wash is listed near the bottom of the 120 FBS schools in offensive production.
Cal sits in a little better than Wash but no where near being the best in its class.
When it comes to efficiency, Cal holds the edge against Wash.
One thing Wash do have that sticks out on paper is their "strength of schedule." They have the toughest schedule compared to any other school in the FBS.
With wins over Stanford and Oregon State, what will transpire tonight against California, who is in need of the next 3 win?
Wash is also in search of bowl eligibility with just 2 wins to lock it in.
The key factors for Wash is QB Keith Price and their head coach who's known to put the ball in the air more than anything.
The downside to Wash is that when playing on the road, they get blown out by their opponents. (Arizona, Louisiana State, Oregon).
:::CONCLUSION:::
With Cal's head coach Tedford on the brink of losing his job and their inconsistencies, it's hard to justify if they can pull off the win against a Washington team who has brought down Stanford and Oregon State. Likewise, I can not justify the same for a Washington team who gets blown into smithereens on the road.
Head to head, Washington has won the last 3 games against Cal.
I'm going to pass on the team and pick the total. PAC 12 is known for putting up points and I don't see much defensive effort for both teams. It is more likely that both teams will duke it out offensively to the finish line since both will be fighting for bowl eligibility.
Zach Maynard and Keith Price are more than capable of doing so.
:::PICK:::
Over 51
:::LEAN:::
California
Score Prediction:
Wash 31
Cal 35
Pennsoul's pick: 6-1 in 2012
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