10/30/2013 AAC Matchup

Cincinnati Bearcats (5-2)
@ Memphis Tigers (1-5)

American Athletic Conference Matchup
At Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium 8pm on ESPN2


Cincinnati comes into this matchup against the home team, Memphis, in a conference showdown. Memphis has dropped 3 straight so far while Cincinnati has won 2, albeit, against 2 fairly good defensive teams, despite their record.
Memphis have held their own defensively:
27th at opp/ppg
13th at opp/ypg
12th at opp/ypp
8th at opp rush/yd
6th at opp rush yd/gm

Here, Memphis stacks against the run pretty good but not so well against the pass:
41st at opp pass completion %
59th at opp pass yds/gm
105th at int thrown %
This may pose a problem for Memphis facing a Junior QB Brendon Kay, who started after ML4 went down from a knee injury.
QB Brendon Kay May be the star in this game, throwing at a 79% completion rate. He have filled in for LeGaeux and done phenomenally well so far. Cincinnati also have a few weapons in the backfield which may play a huge part in opening up the field for the rising star.
There's more for Memphis to worry about Cincinnati. The Bearcats defense:
7th overall
10th at opp pass
10th at opp rush
10th at opp points allowed.

Pick: Cincinnati

Although Cincinnati has a 0-3 ATS mark on the road, the line is to small for a Memphis team who ranks 105th in offense. Memphis has given their opponent a run for their money but an 0-5 ATS against Cincy will trend. Brendon Kay and the running game will win by a touchdown.

Lean: Over

sharpenn Unknown

Article Post10/30/2013 AAC Matchup Unknown SHARPenn ][ Pennsoul Wednesday, October 30, 2013. Picking sports winner against the spread at a consistent rate. 0 comment: here. 10/30/2013 AAC Matchup
 

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